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2023, № 104

UDC: 330.44:657.421
GSNTI: 68.75.41

Crop production reserves as a factor for increasing its results and return on funds in an agricultural organization

Studies of the agricultural organizations activities results in the Krasnodar Territory revealed reserves for increasing yields and the gross harvest of grain crops, sunflower, sugar beet increase by improving: the sown areas structure, the crops varietal structure, and placement by predecessors. The main disadvantage of planning the structure of agricultural crops sown areas is ignoring the cyclicity in the dynamics of yields; therefore, modern approaches to substantiating the crops structure consist in expanding the area under crops in the next year of a variety, a hybrid that has formed the highest yield in the current year. But, as a rule, such tactics are erroneous: after the highest result, their productivity decreases and often drops significantly. As a result, the gross harvest of such varieties products, hybrids is noticeably less than planned, the payback of production resources does not meet expectations. The solution to the problem is that it is possible to substantiate the effective structure of sown areas using short-term yield forecasts using models that provide the minimum yield forecast error for a period of one to three to five years after the reporting (current) one. This is confirmed by many years of experience in adjusting the planned structure of grain crops sown areas in agricultural organizations of the Krasnodar Territory and Dnepropetrovsk Region of the Ukrainian SSR. The peculiarity of the author's yield forecast model is that it takes into account the quasi-cyclical nature of yield dynamics and the use of a random component as a component of the forecast indicator, and not as a confidence interval, as is customary with traditional methodology. The use of accurate yield forecasts in planning the structure of sown areas makes it possible to increase the gross grain harvest of interchangeable grain crops, varieties and hybrids from one to three to five percent, and in some years much more. The increase in the gross harvest of agricultural crops is a significant reserve for increasing revenues, profits, increasing production efficiency, capital productivity, and strengthening the financial condition of economic entities.
Keywords: Gross harvest, sales proceeds, predecessor, structure of sown areas, variety structure of crops, improvement of variety structure, results of structural changes, return on assets.
DOI: 10.21515/1999-1703-104-34-40

References:

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Authors:

1. Prudnikov Anatoliy Grigorievich, DSc in Economics, professor, Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education “I.T. Trubilin Kuban State Agrarian University”.
2. Pavelko Yulia Andreevna, graduate student, Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education “I.T. Trubilin Kuban State Agrarian University”.